Odds for NASCAR race at Homestead: Expert picks & favorites to win Sunday’s Cup Series race

The odds for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Collection race at Homestead-Miami Speedway are primarily based on the mixture of past final results at the one.five-mile oval in South Florida and latest intermediate keep track of racing traits. Our picks to acquire Sunday’s race at Homestead are fueled by the similar elements.

For instance, two of the major three motorists on the odds board have won at Homestead about the very last three a long time. Those people wins, of study course, produced Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. NASCAR Cup Collection champions in 2019 and 2017, respectively. Now the Homestead race will perform out throughout the very first half of the period with much less on the line.

Much more: Entire starting off lineup for NASCAR race at Martinsville

The simple fact that the Homestead Cup party is now a working day race is an attention-grabbing X-factor, as the one.five-mile oval will be much slicker in the heat of June as opposed to conditions for a night race in November.

Beneath are the comprehensive Vegas odds to acquire Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Collection race at Homestead, moreover our major three picks of motorists who could conclusion up taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR race odds to win at Homestead

Kevin Harvick sits along with Truex atop the odds board with superior explanation. Harvick, the NASCAR Cup Collection details leader, has the greatest career driver score at Homestead amongst those people in Sunday’s discipline. This will be his twentieth Cup Collection begin at the keep track of in South Florida.

Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, below are the comprehensive odds to acquire Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Homestead.

Driver Odds to acquire Homestead race
Kevin Harvick +470
Martin Truex Jr. +470
Kyle Busch +500
Chase Elliott +800
Joey Logano +850
Brad Keselowski +a thousand
Denny Hamlin +a thousand
Ryan Blaney +1100
Alex Bowman +2200
Jimmie Johnson +2500
Clint Bowyer +2800
Kurt Busch +2800
William Byron +4200
Erik Jones +5000
Aric Almirola +6500
Matt DiBenedetto +6500
Matt Kenseth +6500
Austin Dillon +7500
Ryan Newman +7500
Tyler Reddick +7500
Bubba Wallace +11000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +12000
Chris Buescher +14000
Christopher Bell +18000
BJ McLeod +20000
Brennan Poole +20000
Cole Custer +20000
Corey LaJoie +20000
Daniel Suarez +20000
Garrett Smithley +20000
JJ Yeley +20000
Ty Dillon +20000
Joey Gase +20000
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Michael McDowell +20000
Quin Houff +20000
Ryan Preece +20000
Timmy Hill +20000

Beneath are the major 10 career driver rankings at Homestead amongst those people in Sunday’s field:

  1. Kevin Harvick, 108.eight
  2. Martin Truex Jr., 107.three
  3. Matt Kenseth, 105.two
  4. Kyle Busch, 102.three
  5. Denny Hamlin, ninety seven.four
  6. Joey Logano, 94.two
  7. Jimmie Johnson, 93.7
  8. Chase Elliott, 91.eight
  9. Brad Keselowski, 89.two
  10. Clint Bowyer, 85.9

Denny Hamlin (2009, 2013) and Kyle Busch (2015, 2019) lead all lively motorists in wins at Homestead with two apiece.

There have been 21 NASCAR Cup Collection races at Homestead, and six of them highlighted winners who begun on the front row — two from the pole and four from second. Hamlin and Joey Logano will begin on the front row for Sunday’s race.

Beneath is the breakdown of wins from various starting off positions in the heritage of Cup racing at Homestead.

Starting off placement Winning % Wins
1st 9.five % two
Front row 28.six % six
Top five sixty one.9 % 13
Top 10 seventy one.four % 15
Outside the house major 20 28.six % six

The major 10 starters for Wednesday’s race at Homestead are as follows: one. Denny Hamlin, two. Joey Logano, three. Brad Keselowski, four. Kyle Busch, five. Chase Elliott, six. Martin Truex Jr., 7. Kevin Harvick, eight. Alex Bowman, 9. Jimmie Johnson, 10. Kurt Busch

Much more: Updated NASCAR program for 2020

NASCAR at Homestead skilled picks

one. Kyle Busch

Vocation stats at Homestead:

  • Two wins, 5 major fives, 8 major 10s
  • Regular complete of sixteen.333 (12th-greatest)
  • Regular running placement of eleven.913 (seventh-greatest)
  • Driver score of 102.three (fourth-greatest)
  • 284 fastest laps run (second-greatest)
  • three,014 laps in top 15 seventy five.two % (fourth-most)
  • 587 good quality passes (eighth-most)

Busch’s relative struggles this period had been amplified by a undesirable race at Martinsville on Wednesday night, but his workforce possible will welcome its return to the keep track of exactly where it won a championship very last period. Busch naturally has the speed and the expertise to acquire his workforce just wants to set alongside one another a comprehensive race for him to ultimately notch a victory in 2020.

two. Kevin Harvick

Vocation stats at Homestead:

  • One particular acquire, eleven major fives, 17 major 10s
  • Regular complete of five.533 (collection-greatest)
  • Regular running placement of 7.886 (collection-greatest)
  • Driver score of 108.eight (collection-greatest)
  • 251 fastest laps run (third-greatest)
  • three,401 laps in top 15 eighty four.9 % (collection-most)
  • 644 good quality passes (sixth-most)

Simply set: Harvick statistically is the greatest driver in the discipline at Homestead. And as evidenced by Harvick’s win very last week at Atlanta, we know his No. four Stewart-Haas Racing workforce has the speed it wants to do well at an intermediate keep track of on a sizzling working day.

three. Chase Elliott

Vocation stats at Homestead:

  • One particular major 5, two major 10s
  • Regular complete of 9.500 (fourth-greatest)
  • Regular running placement of eleven.296 (fourth-greatest)
  • Driver score of 91.eight (eighth-greatest)
  • 26 fastest laps run (fifteenth-greatest)
  • 843 laps in top 15 seventy eight.9 % (14th-most)
  • 227 good quality passes (14th-most)

This is less about Elliott’s reasonably shorter heritage at Homestead and a lot more about Hendrick Motorsports’ speed in 2020. Elliott and his teammates have been aggressive at all varieties of tracks this yr, and the No. 9 team’s strong latest runs at Darlington, Charlotte and Atlanta advise NASCAR’s most well-known driver could be in for another big working day at an intermediate keep track of.

(All NASCAR loop information stats are from 2005 via existing.)