Super Bowl 2021 odds, pick: Buccaneers edge Chiefs, giving Tom Brady an unprecedented seventh title

It all comes down to this: Tremendous Bowl LV. It’ll be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers making an attempt to stop the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs from staying the first crew since the 2003-04 Patriots — led by Tom Brady — to acquire back again-to-back again titles. Patrick Mahomes and firm come across on their own in Tampa right after defeating the Buffalo Expenditures in the AFC Championship and the younger quarterback is searching to incorporate a second Lombardi to his by now eye-popping résumé. Meanwhile, the Bucs are the first crew in NFL background to be playing a Tremendous Bowl in their dwelling stadium. They bought there right after heading by a gauntlet of street games, including defeating the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Area in the NFC Championship sport. 

The NFL odds in excess of at William Hill Sportsbook have Kansas Metropolis as a 3-place preferred in excess of Tampa Bay in this matchup even though the complete currently sits at fifty six.five (as of 2/22/21). The Chiefs had been in a position to get the better of the Bucs throughout their standard-season matchup, but will the very same outcome come about on the NFL’s optimum phase? We’re about to come across out. 

Tremendous Bowl LV is practically in this article, and you can watch it for absolutely free on the CBS Athletics Application.

Underneath, you are going to see where by I stand heading into this matchup alongside with where by we stand on the total season (including playoffs) heading into the Tremendous Bowl. Let’s conclusion the 2020 season with a bang!  

Chiefs at Buccaneers

Sunday, 6:thirty p.m. ET (CBS)

Supplied that I’m the only New Englander on the NFL personnel, it appears only fitting that I’m rolling with Tom Brady and the Bucs, right? But this is just not genuinely about any sentimentality bordering the quarterback, it’s just a gut sensation. I’ve noticed this tale engage in out dozens of periods in excess of the past twenty decades up close and, much more normally than not, Brady finds a way to be the past male standing even when it seems to be like the odds are stacked against him. I discounted Brady and the Buccaneers even since the divisional round and every time they’ve proved me mistaken. No much more. 

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Even though the scarce dwelling-field benefit need to help the Bucs, they also have a several intriguing tendencies leaning their way. Teams moving into the Tremendous Bowl with a worse history than their opponent have won ten of the past 12 games. Tampa Bay went 11-five in excess of the standard season even though K.C. claimed the No. 1 seed in the AFC at 14-2. The Chiefs experienced a enormously productive season in phrases of their true history, but they went 8-ten ATS this season, which is currently tied for the second-worst cover share moving into the Tremendous Bowl. Teams who have formerly entered the Tremendous Bowl a number of games beneath .500 ATS shed (1997 Packers, 1979 Rams). 

Of course, these two teams also performed one an additional before in the standard season and the Chiefs had been in a position to defeat the Bucs in a 27-24 sport that wasn’t as close as the remaining score signifies. In Tremendous Bowl background, on the other hand, the standard-season winner of that matchup is 6-7 in rematches in the huge sport. Individuals tendencies alongside with Brady hoisting an additional Lombardi sensation like an inevitability in my gut has me leaning in direction of Tampa. 

Projected score: Tampa Bay 33, Kansas Metropolis 27
My choose: Tampa Bay +3 

Picks Record 

ATS total: 120-135-11
SU total: 178-87-1