Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier odds, prediction, trends, prop bets for UFC 257

The UFC’s greatest star is back in motion in the 1st shell out-per-check out occasion of the new 12 months as Conor McGregor faces Dustin Poirier at UFC 257 on Combat Island in a rematch that has been 6 several years in the producing. 

The previous time McGregor and Poirier satisfied, the Irish superstar was an unranked fighter who was still on the rise whilst Poirier was aiming to know his probable on the roster. McGregor formally declared his arrival with a stunning 1st-spherical knockout, and the MMA planet has not been the exact given that. 

Additional: UFC 257 day, start out time, card, PPV price, odds vs. Dustin Poirier

While McGregor has shaken up the planet as the 1st UFC fighter to maintain planet titles in two unique bodyweight classes concurrently and damaged records as the greatest start out the activity has ever observed, Poirier has put in a workmanlike work to get back into placement to obstacle for a planet title. 

The version of them selves that they will see across the Octagon on Saturday evening will be vastly unique than the a person they satisfied 6 several years in the past. But will the consequence be the exact, or will Poirier get his extended-awaited redemption? 

UFC 257 odds for McGregor vs. Poirier

  • Conor McGregor: -300
  • Dustin Poirier: +240

Odds by using BetMGM

In the 6 and a half several years that have handed given that their 1st assembly, McGregor has amassed a document of six-two with five of his 6 victories coming by way of knockout. Outdoors of getting submitted by the undefeated Khabib Nurmagomedov, McGregor’s only other reduction all through this span was in opposition to Nate Diaz two bodyweight classes earlier mentioned his usual fighting bodyweight. He would go on to avenge that reduction.

As for Poirier, he has gone ten-two with 1 No Contest given that the McGregor battle. He, much too, experienced a submission reduction to Nurmagomedov but also dropped to Michael Johnson by knockout back in 2016. Some could be stunned to find that he has defeated four former champions all through his current operate with victories around former UFC featherweight champion Max Holloway and stoppage victories in opposition to former lightweight champions Justin Gaethje, Anthony Pettis and Eddie Alvarez. 

But what does this imply for the rematch?

McGregor still packs dynamite in his left hand but carries on to spherical out his striking and takedown defense. He ran roughshod around Donald Cerrone previous January, but it is challenging to determine out what that victory usually means contemplating that Cerrone has been on a downswing recently. 

Poirier went to war with Dan Hooker previous June in a Combat of the 12 months applicant that showed his incredible solve, improved striking and conditioning. He’s the bigger rated fighter owing to his remarkable resume, but oddsmakers installed McGregor as a very significant preferred (-240) when the battle was declared. And people odds continue to widen as he now sits as a -300 preferred by using BetMGM. Meanwhile, Poirier commenced off as a two-1 underdog at +200, and that line has stretched to +240.

This battle is particularly challenging to determine out. Poirier has shown incredible grappling and has taken out some deadly level of competition with his much-improved striking. The trouble is that he still receives hit significantly additional usually than he should, as observed in his brawl with Dan Hooker. He has proven the capability to remain calm in the facial area of the fireplace and gather himself when he’s in difficulties. 

As for McGregor, the striking continues to be ferocious, and his killer instinct is profound. But the diploma of trouble and activity does not fairly evaluate up to Poirier’s. As much as Diaz has demonstrated to be a lover preferred, he does not arrive near to what Gaethje and Holloway have attained.

Regular wisdom would propose that if McGregor is heading to get the end, it would be in the 1st two rounds. He has hardly ever secured a knockout after the second spherical. Simply because of this, a person would have to consider that Poirier designs to weather conditions the early storm and see what McGregor has in the later on rounds. 

At present, the battle heading around two.5 rounds is at +a hundred and fifty. And it may be the very best line for a bettor who is pondering of receiving a improve in price by putting a wager on Poirier. 

But if you are a believer in Mystic Mac, getting McGregor -300 would make pairing it with a prop guess a necessity to find price. In this situation, the battle ending in less than 1.5 rounds is a +a hundred and five. 

McGregor shouldn’t be these a major preferred contemplating his inactivity. Needing to place a $300 guess to gain a $a hundred financial gain just feels much too steep of a price to shell out, regardless of how much you’d like to consider McGregor is heading to gain. 

Poirier provides you much additional price. His route to victory is not likely to be a knockout early, as McGregor has a formidable chin. However, there is light-weight at the conclusion of the tunnel if Poirier requires him into the fourth or fifth spherical, wherever McGregor is matter to exhaustion. As shown in his fights in opposition to Diaz, McGregor is vulnerable to exhaustion, and it provides Poirier an opening to get the battle to the canvas. 

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Poirier will have to bank on McGregor’s conditioning getting in concern to decide up the upset. He’s additional than proficient plenty of in the striking and grappling departments to do so. He also is knowledgeable of McGregor’s electric power, and that should protect against him from foolishly hurrying in and fighting as he did in opposition to Hooker. 

If this were being an even-funds battle, it would be less complicated to propose McGregor specified his precision striking and capability to conclusion the bout in a flash. However, Poirier has one thing to verify, and his getting set up as these a considerable underdog will allow a probable bettor the possibility to gain an added couple pounds without the need of a major expense. 

Never guess the household on Poirier, but really feel self-assured on putting down a strong wager that could yield a significant financial gain.

McGregor vs. Poirier prediction

Picks: Dustin Poirier (+240) and In excess of two.5 rounds (+a hundred and fifty)

Odds: +240 and +a hundred and fifty

McGregor vs. Poirier odds

Full amount or rounds: around/less than

  • In excess of 1.5: -125
  • Below 1.5: +a hundred and five

Full amount or rounds: around/less than

  • In excess of two.5: +a hundred and fifty
  • Below two.5: -185

Full amount or rounds: around/less than

  • In excess of three.5: +225
  • Below three.5: -275

Will the battle go the distance?

Process of victory

  • McGregor by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission: -200
  • McGregor by Selection: +seven-hundred
  • Tie: +5000
  • Poirier by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission: +475
  • Poirier by Selection: +600