20/05/2022

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The Sport Effect

2021 Kentucky Derby date, horses, predictions, odds: Expert who nailed Derby prep races lists bets, picks

Vicki Oliver will turn into just the 17th female coach to run a horse in the Kentucky Derby, and the initial given that 2015, when she sends out extended shot Concealed Stash in the 2021 Kentucky Derby on Saturday at Churchill Downs. The daughter of prominent racing breeder and owner G. Watts Humphrey Jr., Oliver has received 281 races with two,593 starters given that commencing her education job in 1998. On Saturday, she will turn into the initial female to train a Derby starter given that Carla Gaines saddled Bolo to a 12th-position finish in 2015.

Oliver’s Concealed Stash is just one of 6 horses mentioned at 50-one on the morning line in the 2021 Kentucky Derby odds. In the meantime, the Brad Cox-experienced Essential High-quality is the two-one favorite in the 2021 Kentucky Derby subject. Submit time for the Operate for the Roses is set for six:57 p.m. ET. With a gifted twenty-horse subject moving into the Churchill Downs starting off gate, you may want to see what racing insider Bob Weir has to say in advance of generating any 2021 Kentucky Derby picks.

Dependent in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing given that reading through Andy Beyer’s landmark handicapping e-book “Buying Winners” in the late eighties. Weir is remarkably invested in the Beyer Velocity Determine, a number assigned to every single race run by a horse that steps how rapidly the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, many thanks to his proficiency with pace figures and prime-tier handicapping, he landed just one of just eight spots on Beyer’s figure-generating staff in 2017, a situation he holds to this day.

Weir’s methodology has produced various five-figure days. In 2014, he strike a $sixty,000 Pick six at Del Mar. The following calendar year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick six at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir capable for the prestigious Nationwide Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas.

Previous calendar year, his initial for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. On June thirteen, Weir strike a $two superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that compensated a whopping $one,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $one,134.50. He strike the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July two and July 5, with the June 25 score returning a whopping $two,159.50.

This calendar year, he has dominated the 2021 Kentucky Derby prep races, hitting the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby and the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes. Any person who has followed him is way up.

Now, Weir has handicapped the 2021 Kentucky Derby horses, made his picks and produced his bets. You can only see them listed here.

Best 2021 Kentucky Derby predictions

Just one shocker: Weir is mainly fading Essential High-quality, even even though he is the apparent-lower two-one favorite. Essential High-quality is undefeated in five job begins, winning three last calendar year and two this calendar year. He is seeking to turn into just the 3rd horse to gain each the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and Kentucky Derby.

On the other hand, the combination of his broad article (No. 14) and running design could lead to him heading five-broad and losing ground on each turns. “He’s the most attained horse, but I do not see the edge he possesses that supports using that small of a selling price in a twenty-horse subject,” Weir told SportsLine.

An additional curveball: Weir is large on Medina Spirit, even even though he’s a fifteen-one extended shot. A solution of humble beginnings just after he marketed for $one,000 as a yearling and $35,000 as a two-calendar year-previous, Medina Spirit has two wins and three seconds in five job begins. He is coming off a next-position finish in the Santa Anita Derby.

His coach, Bob Baffert, has received the Kentucky Derby 6 instances, tied with Ben A. Jones for the most at any time by a coach. “If any individual can get a horse to peak on Derby Working day, it really is Baffert,” Weir reported.

How to make 2021 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Weir’s gain contenders include things like a double-digit extended shot who has been education “incredibly well” at Churchill Downs. In fact, Weir says this horse is a “will have to-use” in your bets and could have been among the the favorites.┬áHe’s sharing which horses to again only at SportsLine.

So who wins the Kentucky Derby 2021? And which epic extended shot is a will have to-again? Check out the newest Kentucky Derby odds 2021 beneath, then go to SportsLine to see Weir’s picks for the Kentucky Derby.

2021 Kentucky Derby horses, odds

System # Horse Odds
one Regarded Agenda six-one
two Like the King 50-one
3 Brooklyn Solid 50-one
4 Keepmeinmind 50-one
5 Sainthood 50-one
six O Besos twenty-one
seven Mandaloun fifteen-one
8 Medina Spirit fifteen-one
nine Very hot Rod Charlie 8-one
10 Midnight Bourbon twenty-one
11 Dynamic Just one twenty-one
twelve Helium 50-one
thirteen Concealed Stash 50-one
14 Essential High-quality two-one
fifteen Rock Your Globe 5-one
16 King Fury twenty-one
seventeen Very Motivated 10-one
18 Super Inventory 30-one
19 Soup and Sandwich 30-one
twenty Bourbonic 30-one